Green travel list speculation: The 22 places likely to be on the green list from mid-July

UK travel industry 'furious' at green list update says Calder

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Government ministers introduced the green travel list as part of their “traffic light” holiday plans this year. Green follows red and amber and allows people to embark on a holiday or visit families under less restrictive Covid measures. Countries may only drift to the green list if they meet select criteria, however, and one expert believes 22 have done just that.

Which countries could go to the green list in July?

The Government only recently updated its green list to include sun-soaked locations such as Malta and the Spanish islands.

Ministers also included others such as Antarctica and Caribbean islands for those hoping to get out of Europe.

Officials only moved the destinations after they met four criteria that show they can effectively handle imported Brits.

These include:

  • How much of the population is vaccinated
  • The rate of infection
  • The prevalence of variants of concern
  • Level of access to reliable scientific data and genomic sequencing

Experts have identified 22 nations that could serve as viable green list locations by the next crunch date on July 21.

Robert Boyle, a former British Airways strategy chief, claimed to understand the minutiae of the Government’s travel algorithm.

Using his insights, he identified countries likely to debut on its green list in the coming weeks.

Mr Boyle analysed data behind its latest constituents to arrive at his conclusions.

And potential destinations include some of the UK’s most treasured tourist spots.

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Potential inclusions next month include:

  • France
  • Italy
  • Austria
  • Bulgaria
  • Hungary
  • Romania
  • Poland
  • Norway
  • Vietnam
  • Denmark
  • Slovakia
  • North Macedonia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • Lebanon
  • Liechtenstein
  • Lithuania
  • Luxembourg
  • Moldova
  • Taiwan
  • Azerbaijan

The Government has not yet confirmed which countries it intends to add in the next month.

Ministers currently deliberate new green list destinations once a month.

The last additions came on June 24, announced by Transport Secretary Grant Shapps.

While Mr Shapps announced the Government’s decision then, they didn’t debut on the list until June 30.

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